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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.34+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago0.57+1.21vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.40+0.49vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.01+0.17vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.15+1.06vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.65-0.81vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.04+0.11vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University0.51-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.21University of Chicago0.570.2%1st Place
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3.49Hope College0.400.2%1st Place
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4.17Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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6.06Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
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5.19Northern Michigan University-0.650.1%1st Place
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7.11Ohio State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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3.22Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 15.7% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kang | 20.8% | 20.4% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Evan Rodgers | 17.7% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Henley | 12.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% |
| Russell Fyfe | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 30.6% | 22.7% |
| Hannah Williams | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 19.6% | 22.4% | 10.1% |
| Connor Basile | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 18.2% | 62.3% |
| Jack Greve | 21.1% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.