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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago0.57+2.18vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+1.62vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.65+2.23vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.01+0.17vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.15+1.02vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.40-2.53vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.04+0.11vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University0.51-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18University of Chicago0.570.2%1st Place
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3.62Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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5.23Northern Michigan University-0.650.1%1st Place
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4.17Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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6.02Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
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3.47Hope College0.400.2%1st Place
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7.11Ohio State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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3.21Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kang | 20.7% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Mabie | 15.9% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Williams | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 21.7% | 22.5% | 10.4% |
| Jacob Henley | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Russell Fyfe | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 32.0% | 21.2% |
| Evan Rodgers | 17.3% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Connor Basile | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 16.6% | 63.3% |
| Jack Greve | 21.7% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.