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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.55+6.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+3.03vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.42+4.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+6.51vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.80+0.58vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.70+4.35vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.39+4.07vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina1.18-0.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.95-4.00vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.05+2.69vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.42+0.25vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.65+0.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.77vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.05-0.13vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.60-4.25vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College0.18-3.77vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.67-7.11vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont0.87-8.60vs Predicted
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20Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.11-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Brown University1.556.5%1st Place
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5.03Brown University2.2214.1%1st Place
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7.9Fordham University1.426.2%1st Place
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10.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.813.1%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3217.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island1.809.2%1st Place
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11.35Harvard University0.702.8%1st Place
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12.07University of Wisconsin0.392.8%1st Place
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8.82University of South Carolina1.185.4%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy1.9511.8%1st Place
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13.69University of South Florida0.051.7%1st Place
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12.25Fairfield University0.421.8%1st Place
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13.19Northeastern University0.651.6%1st Place
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12.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.6%1st Place
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14.87Olin College of Engineering-0.051.2%1st Place
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11.75Connecticut College0.602.7%1st Place
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13.23Dartmouth College0.181.6%1st Place
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10.89Bates College0.673.5%1st Place
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10.4University of Vermont0.873.6%1st Place
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17.21Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.110.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Mueller | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 14.1% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 17.1% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Tye Rubin | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| David Manley | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Trenton Shaw | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 7.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Carter Brock | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Colin Snow | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 14.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jason Elliott | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.