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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.40+2.36vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.34+1.60vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.01+1.16vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.57-0.79vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-0.65+0.25vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.15-0.01vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University0.51-3.65vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.04-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Hope College0.400.2%1st Place
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3.6Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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4.16Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Chicago0.570.2%1st Place
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5.25Northern Michigan University-0.650.1%1st Place
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5.99Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
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3.35Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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7.08Ohio State University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Rodgers | 19.9% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Mabie | 17.2% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Henley | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Michael Kang | 20.1% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Williams | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 21.1% | 23.6% | 9.0% |
| Russell Fyfe | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 15.8% | 29.6% | 23.0% |
| Jack Greve | 20.1% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Connor Basile | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 18.9% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.