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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+9.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+2.36vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.42+9.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.55+3.58vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+7.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22-0.94vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.60+4.68vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.87+2.36vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.70+2.39vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.39+2.12vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.42-3.15vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.65+1.29vs Predicted
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13Bates College0.67-2.13vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.18-0.89vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.95-9.03vs Predicted
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16University of South Carolina1.18-7.01vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.80-10.54vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.05-3.22vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida0.05-5.10vs Predicted
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20Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.11-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.813.2%1st Place
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4.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3217.1%1st Place
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12.29Fairfield University0.422.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University1.557.1%1st Place
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12.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.492.4%1st Place
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5.06Brown University2.2214.6%1st Place
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11.68Connecticut College0.602.8%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont0.874.3%1st Place
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11.39Harvard University0.702.9%1st Place
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12.12University of Wisconsin0.392.1%1st Place
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7.85Fordham University1.427.0%1st Place
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13.29Northeastern University0.652.1%1st Place
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10.87Bates College0.673.1%1st Place
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13.11Dartmouth College0.182.5%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Naval Academy1.9511.5%1st Place
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8.99University of South Carolina1.184.3%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island1.808.2%1st Place
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14.78Olin College of Engineering-0.051.1%1st Place
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13.9University of South Florida0.051.2%1st Place
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17.3Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.110.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celia Houston | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 17.1% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Brown | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Mason Stang | 14.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Tye Rubin | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carter Brock | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.2% |
| Ted Lutton | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% |
| Trenton Shaw | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Manley | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 14.1% |
| Timothy Brustoski | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 7.9% |
| Jason Elliott | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 46.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.