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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.55+1.66vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+1.11vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.72+0.94vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute2.29-0.94vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.28-0.37vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.21-1.29vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.21-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Columbia University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.11Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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3.94William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
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3.06Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
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4.63Queen's University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.71Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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5.9Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Cashel | 31.0% | 23.0% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Austin Powers | 19.6% | 22.6% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Adam Siegel | 11.6% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 7.2% |
| Cody Stansky | 21.9% | 19.4% | 21.0% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Sherar | 5.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 24.8% | 14.7% |
| Scott Barnhill | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 19.2% | 24.5% | 16.8% |
| Andrew Werner | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.