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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.55+1.64vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.72+1.92vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.21+0.15vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.28+0.61vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.21-0.25vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.21+0.03vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute2.29-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Columbia University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.92William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
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3.15Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.61Queen's University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.75Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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6.03Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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2.9Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Cashel | 29.6% | 25.4% | 17.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Adam Siegel | 11.2% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 7.0% |
| Austin Powers | 19.8% | 20.1% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Sherar | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 25.5% | 13.5% |
| Scott Barnhill | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 20.8% | 25.0% | 16.6% |
| Andrew Werner | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 58.3% |
| Cody Stansky | 24.7% | 20.1% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.