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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.28+3.51vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.55+0.66vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute2.29+0.03vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.72-0.04vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.21-1.82vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.21+0.06vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.21-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Queen's University1.280.1%1st Place
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2.66Columbia University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.03Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
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3.96William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
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3.18Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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6.06Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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4.6Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sherar | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 23.3% | 14.6% |
| Conor Cashel | 28.4% | 24.2% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Cody Stansky | 21.7% | 20.0% | 20.6% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Adam Siegel | 12.3% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 7.2% |
| Austin Powers | 18.6% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Werner | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 59.9% |
| Scott Barnhill | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 20.0% | 27.5% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.