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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College1.17+5.14vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.47+3.73vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.31+10.50vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.70+0.91vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University1.30+1.08vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.91+1.41vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.19+3.76vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.87-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.41+1.76vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.73-2.67vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.20+1.83vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.27+0.71vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia0.04-1.91vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.92+0.77vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.41-0.57vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-1.81vs Predicted
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17Hope College-0.31-4.26vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University-0.44-5.32vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-1.40-2.77vs Predicted
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20Christopher Newport University0.60-11.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Eckerd College1.1710.0%1st Place
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5.73San Diego State University1.4711.8%1st Place
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13.5University of South Florida-0.312.4%1st Place
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4.91Jacksonville University1.7014.1%1st Place
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6.08Texas A&M University1.3010.2%1st Place
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7.41Rice University0.917.3%1st Place
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10.76Washington College0.192.9%1st Place
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7.33North Carolina State University0.877.1%1st Place
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10.76University of Texas0.413.1%1st Place
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7.33Clemson University0.738.2%1st Place
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12.83University of Central Florida-0.201.8%1st Place
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12.71The Citadel-0.272.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Virginia0.043.5%1st Place
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14.77University of North Carolina-0.920.9%1st Place
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14.43Arizona State University-0.411.2%1st Place
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14.19Florida Institute of Technology-0.880.9%1st Place
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12.74Hope College-0.312.6%1st Place
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12.68Michigan State University-0.442.1%1st Place
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16.23William and Mary-1.401.3%1st Place
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8.36Christopher Newport University0.606.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Vieira | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% |
| Patrick Igoe | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Brelage | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Claire Miller | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.2% |
| William Mullray | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
| Caroline Henry | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Dodge | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Harrison Rohne | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 31.6% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.