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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.33+6.07vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+3.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.34+4.16vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.76+1.83vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University5.19-0.59vs Predicted
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6Washington College4.25+1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont4.60-0.72vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida4.10-0.11vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.28-1.48vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin4.10-2.06vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California3.58-1.08vs Predicted
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12University of Florida3.05-0.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-2.51vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University1.90+0.65vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii3.23-4.00vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University2.37-2.42vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.90-2.35vs Predicted
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18University of Oregon1.84-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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5.23Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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5.83College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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4.41Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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7.64Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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7.89University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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7.52Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Southern California3.580.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Florida3.050.0%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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14.65Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.0University of Hawaii3.230.0%1st Place
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13.58Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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14.65Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hornos | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 18.6% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Vetter | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| John Hursh | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 23.5% | 34.8% | 0.0% |
| William Petersen | 1.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 23.5% | 34.8% | 0.0% |
| Craig Emmes | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 23.3% | 36.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.