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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+2.07vs Predicted
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2Columbia University2.55+0.62vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.72+0.96vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute2.29-0.94vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.28-0.36vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.21-1.26vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.21-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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2.62Columbia University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.96William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
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3.06Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
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4.64Queen's University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.74Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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5.9Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 21.3% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Conor Cashel | 29.2% | 25.4% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Adam Siegel | 11.9% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 7.2% |
| Cody Stansky | 21.6% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Sherar | 5.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 23.8% | 15.2% |
| Scott Barnhill | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 24.5% | 17.0% |
| Andrew Werner | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.