← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute2.29+2.03vs Predicted
-
2Villanova University1.21+2.70vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University2.55-0.33vs Predicted
-
4Queen's University1.28+0.63vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University2.21-1.81vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University0.21+0.01vs Predicted
-
7William and Mary1.72-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.03Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
-
4.7Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
-
2.67Columbia University2.550.3%1st Place
-
4.63Queen's University1.280.1%1st Place
-
3.19Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
-
6.01Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
-
3.78William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 22.8% | 21.4% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Scott Barnhill | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 23.7% | 16.3% |
| Conor Cashel | 28.1% | 23.6% | 20.4% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Sherar | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 26.0% | 14.3% |
| Austin Powers | 18.6% | 21.7% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Werner | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 58.5% |
| Adam Siegel | 15.0% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.