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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.55+1.66vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute2.29+1.01vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.72+0.91vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.28+0.62vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.21-0.27vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.21+0.02vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.21-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Columbia University2.550.3%1st Place
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3.01Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
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3.91William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
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4.62Queen's University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.73Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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6.02Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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3.05Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Cashel | 30.4% | 22.7% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Cody Stansky | 20.5% | 23.0% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Adam Siegel | 11.1% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 6.7% |
| Matthew Sherar | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 26.1% | 13.6% |
| Scott Barnhill | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 24.5% | 17.1% |
| Andrew Werner | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 18.2% | 57.8% |
| Austin Powers | 22.0% | 19.6% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.