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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University2.55+1.64vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.28+2.55vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.72+0.91vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute2.29-0.94vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.21-1.78vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.21-1.27vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.21-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Columbia University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.55Queen's University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.91William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
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3.06Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
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3.22Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.73Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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5.88Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conor Cashel | 31.4% | 23.2% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Sherar | 7.7% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 23.5% | 13.9% |
| Adam Siegel | 11.6% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 6.5% |
| Cody Stansky | 21.5% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Austin Powers | 17.7% | 21.2% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Scott Barnhill | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 19.5% | 24.6% | 17.5% |
| Andrew Werner | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.