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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute2.29+2.01vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+1.15vs Predicted
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3Columbia University2.55-0.34vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.28+0.61vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.21-0.26vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.72-2.08vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.21-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Webb Institute2.290.2%1st Place
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3.15Christopher Newport University2.210.2%1st Place
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2.66Columbia University2.550.3%1st Place
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4.61Queen's University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.74Villanova University1.210.1%1st Place
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3.92William and Mary1.720.1%1st Place
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5.92Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Stansky | 23.1% | 21.3% | 19.0% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Austin Powers | 20.0% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 20.0% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Conor Cashel | 28.5% | 24.2% | 20.7% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Sherar | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 21.4% | 24.1% | 14.3% |
| Scott Barnhill | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 24.0% | 16.9% |
| Adam Siegel | 11.8% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Werner | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 17.0% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.