← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Daniel Hodges 6.6% 5.7% 7.0% 7.8% 7.0% 9.2% 13.2% 15.0% 28.6%
Connor Mraz 11.4% 10.4% 12.9% 12.0% 11.8% 11.8% 12.0% 9.6% 8.1%
Tanner Kelly 18.4% 17.6% 14.0% 13.2% 10.9% 9.4% 8.6% 5.5% 2.4%
Stefanos Pappas 7.9% 7.6% 7.8% 9.4% 9.3% 12.3% 11.1% 17.0% 17.4%
Stewart Gurnell 13.8% 14.3% 13.5% 11.6% 12.3% 12.2% 9.8% 8.0% 4.7%
Valerio Palamara 12.0% 11.7% 11.9% 12.3% 13.2% 11.4% 11.1% 9.8% 6.4%
Eden Nykamp 13.4% 14.0% 14.0% 14.1% 11.9% 11.2% 9.2% 7.9% 4.2%
Christopher Magno 8.0% 9.2% 8.1% 9.6% 13.4% 11.8% 12.6% 13.8% 13.6%
Elizabeth Gildea 8.6% 9.5% 10.8% 9.8% 10.2% 10.7% 12.4% 13.4% 14.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.