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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University1.30+2.26vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.13+1.54vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.15+0.55vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.71-1.25vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.29-1.61vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.11-0.92vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.37-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Columbia University1.300.2%1st Place
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3.54Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
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3.55Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.75Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
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3.39William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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5.08Queen's University0.110.1%1st Place
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6.42Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 18.9% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 1.9% |
| James Codega | 14.3% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 11.0% | 2.3% |
| David Alldian | 15.7% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 10.8% | 2.6% |
| Amanda Attardi | 27.6% | 22.5% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Scott Guinn | 16.8% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% |
| Anders Brown | 5.4% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 39.4% | 16.1% |
| Henry Pease | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 13.2% | 73.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.