← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.83+4.69vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University1.87+2.45vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.55vs Predicted
-
4Washington College1.66+0.04vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.54-1.06vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University1.47-1.73vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech0.72-2.08vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University0.95-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.69Christopher Newport University0.835.8%1st Place
-
4.45Princeton University1.8712.4%1st Place
-
3.55U. S. Naval Academy1.7819.2%1st Place
-
4.04Washington College1.6614.0%1st Place
-
3.94University of South Florida1.5416.2%1st Place
-
4.27Hampton University1.4712.6%1st Place
-
4.92Virginia Tech0.7210.7%1st Place
-
5.14Old Dominion University0.959.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daniel Hodges | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 29.8% |
Connor Mraz | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% |
Tanner Kelly | 19.2% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
Stewart Gurnell | 14.0% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 6.6% |
Eden Nykamp | 16.2% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
Valerio Palamara | 12.6% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.3% |
Christopher Magno | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 17.4% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 16.3% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.