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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.71+1.70vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.30+1.27vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.15+0.56vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.29-0.63vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.11+0.09vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.13-2.42vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.37-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
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3.27Columbia University1.300.2%1st Place
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3.56Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.37William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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5.09Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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3.58Webb Institute1.130.2%1st Place
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6.44Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Attardi | 29.4% | 22.9% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 18.4% | 18.2% | 19.5% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 8.9% | 1.3% |
| David Alldian | 13.4% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 2.3% |
| Scott Guinn | 17.5% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 9.8% | 1.6% |
| Anders Brown | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 39.2% | 16.3% |
| James Codega | 15.3% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 2.9% |
| Henry Pease | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 11.8% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.