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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+2.61vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+2.40vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.83+2.78vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.47+0.24vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.95+0.05vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.72-1.09vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.66-2.93vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.54-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61U. S. Naval Academy1.7818.4%1st Place
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4.4Princeton University1.8712.6%1st Place
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5.78Christopher Newport University0.836.2%1st Place
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4.24Hampton University1.4714.2%1st Place
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5.05Old Dominion University0.958.8%1st Place
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4.91Virginia Tech0.729.6%1st Place
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4.07Washington College1.6614.8%1st Place
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3.94University of South Florida1.5415.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tanner Kelly | 18.4% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
Connor Mraz | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% |
Daniel Hodges | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 33.3% |
Valerio Palamara | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 8.9% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 16.9% |
Christopher Magno | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 16.8% |
Stewart Gurnell | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
Eden Nykamp | 15.4% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.