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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.15+2.48vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.13+1.54vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.71-0.30vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.29-0.62vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.30-1.63vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.11-0.90vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.37-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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3.54Webb Institute1.130.1%1st Place
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2.7Christopher Newport University1.710.3%1st Place
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3.38William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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3.37Columbia University1.300.2%1st Place
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5.1Queen's University0.110.1%1st Place
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6.42Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alldian | 16.7% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 2.4% |
| James Codega | 14.7% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 2.3% |
| Amanda Attardi | 27.1% | 24.2% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Scott Guinn | 17.5% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 9.1% | 1.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 17.2% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 2.9% |
| Anders Brown | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 16.9% | 39.0% | 16.3% |
| Henry Pease | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 12.7% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.