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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+1.88vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.15+1.65vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.29+0.48vs Predicted
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4Columbia University1.30-0.51vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71-2.11vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.37+0.58vs Predicted
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7Queen's University0.11-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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3.65Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.48William and Mary1.290.1%1st Place
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3.49Columbia University1.300.2%1st Place
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2.89Christopher Newport University1.710.2%1st Place
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6.58Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.03Queen's University0.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Dzinbal | 24.9% | 22.0% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| David Alldian | 12.7% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 13.1% | 2.3% |
| Scott Guinn | 15.0% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 11.4% | 1.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 16.4% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 12.5% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Attardi | 23.9% | 22.6% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Henry Pease | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 10.7% | 79.7% |
| Anders Brown | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 41.3% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.