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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+3.29vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+2.42vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.59vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.66+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54-1.11vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.83-0.28vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95-2.01vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.72-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Hampton University1.4713.4%1st Place
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4.42Princeton University1.8711.5%1st Place
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3.59U. S. Naval Academy1.7818.7%1st Place
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4.09Washington College1.6614.5%1st Place
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3.89University of South Florida1.5416.8%1st Place
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5.72Christopher Newport University0.835.5%1st Place
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4.99Old Dominion University0.9510.9%1st Place
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5.0Virginia Tech0.728.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valerio Palamara | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.8% |
Connor Mraz | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.3% |
Tanner Kelly | 18.7% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
Stewart Gurnell | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
Eden Nykamp | 16.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.7% |
Daniel Hodges | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 30.6% |
Elizabeth Gildea | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
Christopher Magno | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.