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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+2.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.78+1.41vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.66+0.93vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.87+0.30vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.83+0.58vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.68-0.40vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.73-1.77vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.47-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of South Florida1.5416.7%1st Place
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3.41U. S. Naval Academy1.7820.3%1st Place
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3.93Washington College1.6615.1%1st Place
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4.3Princeton University1.8712.7%1st Place
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5.58Christopher Newport University0.836.9%1st Place
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5.6Old Dominion University0.686.0%1st Place
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5.23Virginia Tech0.738.2%1st Place
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4.15Hampton University1.4714.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 16.7% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 20.3% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 15.1% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 5.6% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.7% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 6.9% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 26.8% |
| Megan Geith | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 27.5% |
| Aidan Young | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 20.4% |
| Valerio Palamara | 14.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.