← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.69+1.84vs Predicted
-
2Villanova University1.15+1.66vs Predicted
-
3William and Mary1.29+0.48vs Predicted
-
4Christopher Newport University1.71-1.11vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University1.30-1.48vs Predicted
-
6Queen's University0.11-0.84vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University-1.37-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.84Webb Institute1.690.3%1st Place
-
3.66Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
-
3.48William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
-
2.89Christopher Newport University1.710.2%1st Place
-
3.52Columbia University1.300.1%1st Place
-
5.16Queen's University0.110.1%1st Place
-
6.45Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Dzinbal | 26.0% | 23.2% | 18.2% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| David Alldian | 12.9% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 13.0% | 2.4% |
| Scott Guinn | 15.5% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 10.7% | 1.9% |
| Amanda Attardi | 24.8% | 20.8% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 14.6% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 3.0% |
| Anders Brown | 5.1% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 41.5% | 16.5% |
| Henry Pease | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 12.9% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.