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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.47+4.65vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.60+6.21vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.87+4.13vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.70+0.73vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University1.30+0.98vs Predicted
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6Rice University0.91+1.47vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.73+0.49vs Predicted
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8The Citadel-0.27+4.53vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.20+3.64vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.41+0.48vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.31+2.76vs Predicted
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12Washington College0.19-1.31vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina-0.92+1.35vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.04-3.21vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-0.86vs Predicted
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16Hope College-0.31-3.48vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-1.03-1.80vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.41-3.73vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-1.40-2.90vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College1.17-14.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65San Diego State University1.4711.6%1st Place
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8.21Christopher Newport University0.605.7%1st Place
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7.13North Carolina State University0.878.3%1st Place
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4.73Jacksonville University1.7015.4%1st Place
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5.98Texas A&M University1.3011.2%1st Place
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7.47Rice University0.917.6%1st Place
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7.49Clemson University0.736.4%1st Place
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12.53The Citadel-0.271.9%1st Place
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12.64University of Central Florida-0.202.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Texas0.414.2%1st Place
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13.76University of South Florida-0.311.6%1st Place
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10.69Washington College0.193.5%1st Place
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14.35University of North Carolina-0.921.2%1st Place
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10.79University of Virginia0.042.9%1st Place
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14.14Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.5%1st Place
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12.52Hope College-0.311.8%1st Place
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15.2Michigan State University-1.030.7%1st Place
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14.27Arizona State University-0.411.1%1st Place
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16.1William and Mary-1.400.8%1st Place
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5.85Eckerd College1.1710.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Smith | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Brelage | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mather | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.1% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% |
| Claire Miller | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| William Mullray | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Keegan Beyer | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 28.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 10.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.