← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston4.76+4.61vs Predicted
-
2Boston College4.89+3.31vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont4.60+3.32vs Predicted
-
4Washington College4.25+3.50vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California3.58+4.73vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+4.60vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida4.10+1.09vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin4.10-0.12vs Predicted
-
9Brown University4.28-1.50vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii3.23+0.97vs Predicted
-
11University of Florida3.05+0.66vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy4.34-4.82vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon1.84+1.69vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University5.19-9.40vs Predicted
-
15Texas A&M University1.90-0.49vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University4.33-8.77vs Predicted
-
17Texas A&M University1.90-2.49vs Predicted
-
18Northwestern University2.37-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.61College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
-
5.31Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
-
6.32University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
-
7.5Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
-
9.73University of Southern California3.580.0%1st Place
-
10.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
8.09University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
-
7.88University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
-
7.5Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
-
10.97University of Hawaii3.230.0%1st Place
-
11.66University of Florida3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.18U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
14.69University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
-
4.6Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
-
14.51Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
-
7.23Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
-
14.51Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
-
13.61Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Vetter | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Petersen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| John Hursh | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Craig Emmes | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 24.5% | 37.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 21.6% | 33.6% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 13.4% | 21.6% | 33.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.