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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+1.87vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.15+1.66vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.30+0.46vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.29-0.50vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.71-2.10vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.11-0.85vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.37-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Webb Institute1.690.3%1st Place
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3.66Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.46Columbia University1.300.2%1st Place
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3.5William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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2.9Christopher Newport University1.710.2%1st Place
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5.15Queen's University0.110.1%1st Place
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6.46Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Dzinbal | 25.2% | 22.7% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| David Alldian | 12.9% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 2.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 15.3% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 10.6% | 1.7% |
| Scott Guinn | 16.2% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 20.2% | 9.9% | 2.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 24.0% | 22.2% | 20.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Anders Brown | 5.3% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 42.2% | 16.2% |
| Henry Pease | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 12.6% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.