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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+2.89vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+2.33vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47+0.95vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.83+1.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.78-1.49vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.68-0.32vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54-3.30vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.73-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Washington College1.6616.4%1st Place
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4.33Princeton University1.8712.3%1st Place
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3.95Hampton University1.4715.6%1st Place
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5.57Christopher Newport University0.836.0%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Naval Academy1.7819.7%1st Place
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5.68Old Dominion University0.685.2%1st Place
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3.7University of South Florida1.5417.7%1st Place
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5.38Virginia Tech0.737.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 16.4% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 8.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 15.6% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 19.7% | 25.1% |
| Tanner Kelly | 19.7% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Megan Geith | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 28.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 17.7% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Aidan Young | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 21.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.