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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.15+2.58vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.69+0.83vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.55+0.06vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.29-0.52vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.11+0.18vs Predicted
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6Columbia University1.30-2.59vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.37-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Villanova University1.150.2%1st Place
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2.83Webb Institute1.690.2%1st Place
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3.06Christopher Newport University1.550.2%1st Place
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3.48William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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5.18Queen's University0.110.0%1st Place
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3.41Columbia University1.300.2%1st Place
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6.46Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alldian | 16.5% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 2.3% |
| Alex Dzinbal | 24.2% | 22.4% | 22.0% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Annie Eckmann | 20.6% | 21.4% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Scott Guinn | 16.7% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 19.1% | 11.4% | 1.4% |
| Anders Brown | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 39.8% | 17.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 16.3% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 1.8% |
| Henry Pease | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 11.9% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.