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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+2.97vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+3.65vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+0.87vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.78-0.52vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.47-0.81vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.87-1.69vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.72-2.19vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University0.68-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Washington College1.6616.8%1st Place
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5.65Christopher Newport University0.836.7%1st Place
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3.87University of South Florida1.5415.6%1st Place
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3.48U. S. Naval Academy1.7818.4%1st Place
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4.19Hampton University1.4714.2%1st Place
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4.31Princeton University1.8713.0%1st Place
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4.81Virginia Tech0.729.3%1st Place
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5.73Old Dominion University0.686.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stewart Gurnell | 16.8% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% |
Daniel Hodges | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 29.2% |
Eden Nykamp | 15.6% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
Tanner Kelly | 18.4% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
Valerio Palamara | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 7.3% |
Connor Mraz | 13.0% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
Christopher Magno | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.5% |
Megan Geith | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.