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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.69+1.80vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.15+1.62vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.29+0.44vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.55-0.93vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.30-1.52vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.11-0.87vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.37-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Webb Institute1.690.3%1st Place
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3.62Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.44William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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3.07Christopher Newport University1.550.2%1st Place
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3.48Columbia University1.300.2%1st Place
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5.13Queen's University0.110.1%1st Place
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6.45Princeton University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Dzinbal | 27.1% | 23.0% | 18.1% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| David Alldian | 13.3% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 2.4% |
| Scott Guinn | 15.7% | 18.3% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 10.0% | 1.9% |
| Annie Eckmann | 22.0% | 19.3% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 15.5% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 15.4% | 17.1% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 3.0% |
| Anders Brown | 5.4% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 41.3% | 16.4% |
| Henry Pease | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 12.6% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.