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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+2.95vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+3.59vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+0.95vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.87+0.32vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.68+0.68vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.72-1.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.78-3.52vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.47-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Washington College1.6616.3%1st Place
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5.59Christopher Newport University0.836.8%1st Place
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3.95University of South Florida1.5414.1%1st Place
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4.32Princeton University1.8713.3%1st Place
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5.68Old Dominion University0.685.9%1st Place
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4.88Virginia Tech0.729.9%1st Place
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3.48U. S. Naval Academy1.7819.7%1st Place
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4.15Hampton University1.4714.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Stewart Gurnell | 16.3% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
Daniel Hodges | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 28.9% |
Eden Nykamp | 14.1% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
Connor Mraz | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 8.6% |
Megan Geith | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 28.2% |
Christopher Magno | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 15.0% |
Tanner Kelly | 19.7% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
Valerio Palamara | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.