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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.87+3.33vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+1.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.51vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.83+1.63vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.68+0.72vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.47-1.89vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.66-2.94vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.72-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Princeton University1.8713.1%1st Place
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3.82University of South Florida1.5417.2%1st Place
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3.51U. S. Naval Academy1.7820.3%1st Place
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5.63Christopher Newport University0.835.5%1st Place
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5.72Old Dominion University0.685.5%1st Place
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4.11Hampton University1.4714.0%1st Place
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4.06Washington College1.6614.8%1st Place
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4.83Virginia Tech0.729.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Connor Mraz | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 8.9% |
Eden Nykamp | 17.2% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
Tanner Kelly | 20.3% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
Daniel Hodges | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 28.1% |
Megan Geith | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 30.0% |
Valerio Palamara | 14.0% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
Stewart Gurnell | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 6.1% |
Christopher Magno | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.