Race 1 - ne-dinghy-tournament | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.3

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Michael Rottier & Peter Rodriguez

University of Connecticut

1.96

+1.15

vs Predicted
2

Yann Cudennec & Tristan Chauvin

McGill University

1.67

+0.48

vs Predicted
4

William Dykes & David Mazotas

University of New Hampshire

1.35

-1.20

vs Predicted
5

Sean Willerford & Annalisa Baratta

Middlebury College

1.53

-2.42

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.15

Michael Rottier & Peter Rodriguez

University of Connecticut

1.96

0.4%

1st Place
2.48

Yann Cudennec & Tristan Chauvin

McGill University

1.67

0.2%

1st Place
2.8

William Dykes & David Mazotas

University of New Hampshire

1.35

0.2%

1st Place
2.58

Sean Willerford & Annalisa Baratta

Middlebury College

1.53

0.2%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Michael Rottier	36.1%	28.1%	20.9%	14.9%
Yann Cudennec	23.8%	26.8%	27.4%	22.0%
William Dykes	18.7%	19.1%	25.6%	36.6%
Sean Willerford	21.4%	26.0%	26.1%	26.5%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.