← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.47+3.16vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University0.68+3.70vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy1.78+0.51vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech0.72+0.87vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.54-1.19vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.83-0.36vs Predicted
-
7Washington College1.66-3.00vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University1.87-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.16Hampton University1.4713.1%1st Place
-
5.7Old Dominion University0.685.9%1st Place
-
3.51U. S. Naval Academy1.7819.4%1st Place
-
4.87Virginia Tech0.729.7%1st Place
-
3.81University of South Florida1.5416.8%1st Place
-
5.64Christopher Newport University0.836.7%1st Place
-
4.0Washington College1.6615.7%1st Place
-
4.32Princeton University1.8712.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valerio Palamara | 13.1% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% |
Megan Geith | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 29.8% |
Tanner Kelly | 19.4% | 20.3% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
Christopher Magno | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 14.4% |
Eden Nykamp | 16.8% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
Daniel Hodges | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 28.1% |
Stewart Gurnell | 15.7% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
Connor Mraz | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.