← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.83+4.08vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University1.87+1.83vs Predicted
-
3Washington College1.66+0.50vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy1.78-0.86vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.54-1.54vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University1.47-2.14vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University0.68-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.08Christopher Newport University0.836.7%1st Place
-
3.83Princeton University1.8714.9%1st Place
-
3.5Washington College1.6618.1%1st Place
-
3.14U. S. Naval Academy1.7822.9%1st Place
-
3.46University of South Florida1.5418.1%1st Place
-
3.86Hampton University1.4713.8%1st Place
-
5.13Old Dominion University0.685.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 19.9% | 32.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 14.9% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 9.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.1% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 6.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 22.9% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 18.1% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 5.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 13.8% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 9.5% |
| Megan Geith | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.