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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College1.66+2.54vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.83+3.12vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.54-0.50vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.87-1.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.78-2.86vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.68-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Washington College1.6617.4%1st Place
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5.12Christopher Newport University0.836.2%1st Place
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3.82Hampton University1.4714.0%1st Place
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3.5University of South Florida1.5418.8%1st Place
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3.87Princeton University1.8713.9%1st Place
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3.14U. S. Naval Academy1.7822.1%1st Place
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5.0Old Dominion University0.687.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 17.4% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 6.3% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 21.1% | 32.8% |
| Valerio Palamara | 14.0% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 8.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 18.8% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 13.9% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 9.4% |
| Tanner Kelly | 22.1% | 19.6% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Megan Geith | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.