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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+2.43vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+1.61vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.87+0.83vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.47-0.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.78-1.77vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.83-0.97vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.68-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of South Florida1.5419.3%1st Place
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3.61Washington College1.6615.4%1st Place
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3.83Princeton University1.8715.0%1st Place
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3.76Hampton University1.4715.6%1st Place
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3.23U. S. Naval Academy1.7821.6%1st Place
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5.03Christopher Newport University0.836.1%1st Place
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5.11Old Dominion University0.687.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 19.3% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 15.4% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| Connor Mraz | 15.0% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 10.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 15.6% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 7.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 21.6% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 19.2% | 32.1% |
| Megan Geith | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.