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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+2.23vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.66+1.57vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.47+0.77vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.68+1.02vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.87-1.07vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.83-0.98vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23U. S. Naval Academy1.7821.4%1st Place
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3.57Washington College1.6618.0%1st Place
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3.77Hampton University1.4715.0%1st Place
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5.02Old Dominion University0.688.1%1st Place
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3.93Princeton University1.8712.7%1st Place
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5.02Christopher Newport University0.837.2%1st Place
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3.47University of South Florida1.5417.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Kelly | 21.4% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 18.0% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 7.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 15.0% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 8.6% |
| Megan Geith | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 32.3% |
| Connor Mraz | 12.7% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 10.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 31.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 17.6% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.