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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+1.57vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.73+1.29vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+2.81vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.23+2.09vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.67-2.63vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.55vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.55-0.06vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-1.57vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48-2.27vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.49-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Salve Regina University1.3130.6%1st Place
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3.29Northeastern University0.7320.5%1st Place
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5.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.405.2%1st Place
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4.74University of New Hampshire-0.009.2%1st Place
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7.09University of New Hampshire-1.233.9%1st Place
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3.37University of Rhode Island0.6719.4%1st Place
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6.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.773.9%1st Place
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7.94Bates College-1.551.8%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.422.6%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.481.9%1st Place
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9.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.491.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 30.6% | 26.0% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 20.5% | 20.8% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| James Sullivan | 9.2% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 7.8% |
| Anthony Purcell | 19.4% | 19.5% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 14.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 8.4% |
| Norman Walker | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 12.2% |
| Sarah Barth | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.