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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.34+5.95vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont4.60+4.19vs Predicted
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3Washington College4.25+4.45vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.33+3.27vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida4.10+2.88vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University5.19-1.40vs Predicted
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7University of Florida3.05+4.60vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin4.10-0.20vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.28-1.45vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.76-4.29vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.89-5.48vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii3.23-1.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-2.50vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California3.58-3.99vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University2.37-1.52vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon1.84-1.15vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University1.90-2.30vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.90-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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7.45Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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7.88University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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11.6University of Florida3.050.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University4.280.0%1st Place
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5.71College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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5.52Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Hawaii3.230.0%1st Place
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10.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Southern California3.580.0%1st Place
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13.48Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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14.85University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
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14.7Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
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14.7Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Vann | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 15.4% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hursh | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 13.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Petersen | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Vetter | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Craig Emmes | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 23.3% | 37.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 23.4% | 34.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 23.4% | 34.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.