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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University1.30+4.93vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University0.87+5.16vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60+5.29vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.47+1.73vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.41+5.45vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.70-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.20+5.70vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.91-0.86vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.27+3.50vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.73-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida-0.31+2.75vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+2.20vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.19-2.41vs Predicted
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14Hope College-0.31-1.51vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.04-4.19vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.41-1.75vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina-0.92-2.49vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University-1.03-2.90vs Predicted
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19William and Mary-1.40-2.92vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College1.17-13.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Texas A&M University1.3011.9%1st Place
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7.16North Carolina State University0.878.1%1st Place
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8.29Christopher Newport University0.606.2%1st Place
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5.73San Diego State University1.4710.4%1st Place
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10.45University of Texas0.414.0%1st Place
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4.86Jacksonville University1.7014.2%1st Place
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12.7University of Central Florida-0.201.8%1st Place
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7.14Rice University0.917.8%1st Place
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12.5The Citadel-0.272.3%1st Place
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7.37Clemson University0.737.0%1st Place
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13.75University of South Florida-0.311.2%1st Place
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14.2Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.6%1st Place
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10.59Washington College0.193.5%1st Place
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12.49Hope College-0.312.4%1st Place
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10.81University of Virginia0.043.2%1st Place
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14.25Arizona State University-0.411.3%1st Place
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14.51University of North Carolina-0.921.3%1st Place
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15.1Michigan State University-1.031.4%1st Place
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16.08William and Mary-1.400.8%1st Place
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6.1Eckerd College1.179.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Mather | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aston Smith | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Igoe | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Ricky Miller | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Nilah Miller | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| William Mullray | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Henry | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Claire Miller | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% |
| Keegan Beyer | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 16.6% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 27.3% |
| Jordan Vieira | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.