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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Liam Lawless 19.4% 19.4% 20.6% 15.8% 11.8% 7.5% 3.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nils Tullberg 31.9% 24.5% 19.0% 13.5% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Anthony Purcell 18.4% 18.6% 17.9% 16.0% 13.5% 8.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1%
James Sullivan 8.8% 11.3% 11.6% 13.6% 14.8% 13.7% 11.4% 8.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
Will Rudaz 2.7% 3.3% 4.7% 6.6% 7.8% 10.5% 11.7% 15.1% 15.7% 14.5% 7.4%
Norman Walker 2.4% 2.9% 3.3% 4.8% 7.2% 7.9% 12.2% 13.4% 15.8% 17.8% 12.3%
Kennard MacVaugh 2.8% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 7.3% 10.2% 12.3% 14.1% 16.3% 15.3% 8.5%
Kate Myler 4.6% 5.5% 5.7% 8.3% 9.8% 13.0% 14.4% 13.6% 12.2% 9.4% 3.5%
Kristin Hess 6.1% 7.1% 7.6% 10.3% 13.2% 14.3% 13.2% 13.1% 7.4% 6.0% 1.6%
Gray Dinsel 1.9% 2.4% 3.5% 4.1% 5.7% 7.8% 11.1% 13.1% 16.8% 19.4% 14.2%
Sarah Barth 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 3.9% 4.3% 6.0% 10.3% 15.3% 52.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.