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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.73+2.28vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.67+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.23+2.23vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+1.69vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-1.55vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-3.22vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.55-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.49-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28Northeastern University0.7319.4%1st Place
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2.54Salve Regina University1.3131.9%1st Place
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3.46University of Rhode Island0.6718.4%1st Place
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4.84University of New Hampshire-0.008.8%1st Place
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7.23University of New Hampshire-1.232.7%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.4%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.422.8%1st Place
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6.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.774.6%1st Place
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5.78SUNY Stony Brook-0.406.1%1st Place
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7.92Bates College-1.551.9%1st Place
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9.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.491.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liam Lawless | 19.4% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Nils Tullberg | 31.9% | 24.5% | 19.0% | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Anthony Purcell | 18.4% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
James Sullivan | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
Will Rudaz | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 7.4% |
Norman Walker | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 12.3% |
Kennard MacVaugh | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 8.5% |
Kate Myler | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.5% |
Kristin Hess | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
Gray Dinsel | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 14.2% |
Sarah Barth | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.