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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.67+1.43vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+4.70vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.73-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.13vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.23+0.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-0.58vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.55-1.04vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-3.61vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.49-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Salve Regina University1.3132.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Rhode Island0.6718.4%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.5%1st Place
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3.3Northeastern University0.7319.2%1st Place
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4.87University of New Hampshire-0.009.2%1st Place
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5.78SUNY Stony Brook-0.406.2%1st Place
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7.08University of New Hampshire-1.233.2%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.422.2%1st Place
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7.96Bates College-1.552.4%1st Place
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6.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.773.7%1st Place
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9.56University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.490.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 32.1% | 25.4% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 18.4% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Norman Walker | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 11.9% |
| Liam Lawless | 19.2% | 21.0% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kristin Hess | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 8.9% |
| Gray Dinsel | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 22.4% | 15.8% |
| Kate Myler | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Barth | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.