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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.57vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.67+0.30vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.48+3.55vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42+2.24vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.73-2.86vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.55+0.73vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-2.35vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.23-2.13vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.95-1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.26-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Salve Regina University1.3133.5%1st Place
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4.57University of New Hampshire-0.009.6%1st Place
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3.3University of Rhode Island0.6718.9%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.482.5%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.422.9%1st Place
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3.14Northeastern University0.7320.5%1st Place
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7.73Bates College-1.551.6%1st Place
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5.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.405.0%1st Place
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6.87University of New Hampshire-1.233.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.951.4%1st Place
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9.03University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.261.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 33.5% | 26.2% | 19.1% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Anthony Purcell | 18.9% | 18.6% | 20.3% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Norman Walker | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 11.8% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 7.6% |
| Liam Lawless | 20.5% | 21.7% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gray Dinsel | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 12.9% |
| Kristin Hess | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Margaret Buswick | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 20.5% | 24.6% |
| Ariana Schreibman | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.