Race 5A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Anthony Purcell 17.8% 21.2% 18.1% 16.4% 12.2% 7.8% 3.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Liam Lawless 18.9% 19.7% 18.5% 17.2% 11.3% 7.6% 4.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nils Tullberg 35.0% 23.1% 18.1% 12.4% 6.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
James Sullivan 8.7% 10.1% 13.2% 14.3% 14.5% 13.7% 12.3% 7.1% 4.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Kate Myler 4.0% 5.5% 6.5% 7.6% 10.8% 14.3% 14.1% 14.8% 11.7% 7.6% 3.1%
Will Rudaz 2.5% 3.0% 4.7% 5.9% 9.4% 10.7% 13.7% 13.5% 14.5% 14.4% 7.5%
Kristin Hess 5.7% 7.0% 8.7% 9.8% 12.8% 14.6% 14.2% 11.9% 7.8% 5.5% 1.9%
Norman Walker 2.1% 3.3% 3.6% 5.2% 5.8% 7.4% 10.7% 12.6% 16.6% 17.9% 14.8%
Gray Dinsel 2.0% 2.8% 3.5% 4.4% 5.6% 7.6% 9.0% 13.2% 16.8% 18.8% 16.4%
Kennard MacVaugh 2.1% 2.9% 3.8% 4.8% 7.9% 8.1% 11.2% 14.8% 15.4% 17.8% 11.3%
Ariana Schreibman 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 4.7% 5.5% 8.2% 11.8% 16.0% 44.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.