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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+0.66vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.18+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-1.77+3.69vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island-0.09-0.37vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.99vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.00+0.13vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.24-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10-1.66vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.96-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66Northeastern University1.5958.1%1st Place
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3.29Salve Regina University0.1813.6%1st Place
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6.69University of New Hampshire-1.771.9%1st Place
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3.63University of Rhode Island-0.0910.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.423.5%1st Place
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4.44SUNY Stony Brook-0.607.0%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.001.3%1st Place
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6.26University of New Hampshire-1.242.8%1st Place
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7.34University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.101.1%1st Place
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8.58Bates College-2.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 58.1% | 25.3% | 11.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 13.6% | 23.0% | 22.7% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clayton Greig | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 8.8% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 10.1% | 19.1% | 22.4% | 19.4% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.0% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Robert Houde | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 21.1% | 14.0% |
| Robert Caldwell | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 5.9% |
| Ozel Yilmazel | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 16.3% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.