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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.78+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut1.13+0.29vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.06-0.62vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.67-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of New Hampshire0.780.2%1st Place
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2.29University of Connecticut1.130.3%1st Place
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2.38McGill University1.060.3%1st Place
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2.69Middlebury College0.670.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmet Todd | 21.8% | 22.1% | 26.2% | 29.9% |
| Jennifer Lee | 30.0% | 28.2% | 24.7% | 17.1% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 28.4% | 26.0% | 25.3% | 20.3% |
| Meghan Colwell | 19.8% | 23.7% | 23.8% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.