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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.18+2.32vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59-0.35vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island-0.09+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.24+2.22vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.98vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.77+0.64vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.49vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.00-0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.10-1.68vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.96-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32Salve Regina University0.1814.1%1st Place
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1.65Northeastern University1.5956.2%1st Place
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3.62University of Rhode Island-0.0911.3%1st Place
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6.22University of New Hampshire-1.242.5%1st Place
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5.98University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.9%1st Place
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6.64University of New Hampshire-1.772.6%1st Place
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4.51SUNY Stony Brook-0.607.3%1st Place
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7.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.001.2%1st Place
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7.32University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.101.4%1st Place
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8.66Bates College-2.960.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Molly Hanrahan | 14.1% | 22.9% | 21.4% | 18.2% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Adrian Winkelman | 56.2% | 28.6% | 10.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Spencer Asofsky | 11.3% | 17.9% | 22.4% | 18.5% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Robert Caldwell | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 4.9% |
Andy Giaya | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 3.9% |
Clayton Greig | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 9.3% |
Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.3% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Robert Houde | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 12.8% |
Ozel Yilmazel | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 17.1% |
Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 17.3% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.