Race 3B

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrian Winkelman 58.1% 26.2% 10.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Hanrahan 13.7% 21.6% 23.2% 19.8% 12.8% 5.5% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Spencer Asofsky 10.8% 19.7% 21.9% 19.1% 14.6% 8.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Clayton Greig 2.1% 2.9% 5.4% 7.0% 9.2% 12.7% 16.7% 16.2% 18.9% 8.9%
Rose von Eckartsberg 7.3% 11.8% 15.6% 17.1% 16.8% 13.9% 11.2% 4.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Ozel Yilmazel 1.5% 3.5% 3.1% 5.8% 8.5% 10.1% 14.5% 17.3% 20.0% 15.8%
Robert Caldwell 2.3% 5.1% 6.4% 8.8% 11.5% 16.2% 16.1% 17.2% 11.5% 5.1%
Andy Giaya 2.2% 5.4% 7.6% 9.3% 13.6% 16.8% 16.0% 13.9% 10.9% 4.2%
Robert Houde 1.5% 2.5% 5.0% 6.3% 8.6% 10.8% 12.3% 18.1% 21.3% 13.9%
Charlotte Maffie 0.5% 1.4% 1.2% 3.2% 3.3% 5.2% 7.2% 10.2% 15.8% 51.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.