Race 2A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonathan Pope 6.9% 4.8% 7.1% 9.4% 8.2% 8.6% 8.3% 11.3% 9.8% 9.9% 8.4% 5.7% 1.6%
Charles Lalumiere 16.4% 16.6% 13.9% 13.5% 11.7% 8.2% 7.1% 4.9% 3.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew Lyons 6.1% 8.3% 9.5% 8.8% 8.3% 9.8% 10.6% 10.8% 8.7% 7.2% 7.5% 2.6% 1.8%
Harry Koeppel 15.1% 15.5% 12.5% 12.2% 10.7% 10.5% 7.8% 6.3% 4.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.3%
John Rolander 16.5% 15.0% 14.7% 9.7% 12.8% 8.3% 8.4% 5.6% 3.4% 3.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Juan Perdomo 9.0% 10.3% 9.1% 9.8% 9.7% 11.7% 10.5% 6.5% 7.6% 6.9% 5.9% 2.7% 0.3%
Peter Christensen 5.0% 4.6% 5.1% 6.1% 6.0% 5.1% 7.5% 8.8% 9.6% 12.0% 12.6% 12.5% 5.1%
William Crary 8.9% 8.7% 9.4% 8.4% 9.9% 10.9% 10.8% 9.6% 8.8% 6.8% 3.6% 3.1% 1.1%
Camden Tougas 3.9% 3.8% 3.4% 5.4% 4.3% 5.4% 6.8% 7.1% 10.4% 11.3% 14.8% 13.9% 9.5%
Cooper Nefsky 5.4% 5.3% 5.1% 5.7% 7.4% 8.8% 6.5% 10.0% 10.4% 10.4% 10.7% 8.4% 5.9%
Alison Knoles 4.5% 4.1% 6.1% 7.5% 6.0% 7.2% 8.2% 8.5% 13.0% 10.7% 9.8% 9.8% 4.6%
Luis Marban 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.4% 4.1% 5.0% 4.4% 6.8% 10.6% 18.9% 39.8%
Samuel Campbell 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 3.0% 3.1% 3.4% 5.6% 5.8% 9.2% 11.9% 21.2% 29.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.