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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.18+2.25vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.59-0.30vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island-0.09+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.77+2.77vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.79+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.24-0.66vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.00-0.84vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-4.39vs Predicted
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10Bates College-2.96-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25Salve Regina University0.1816.0%1st Place
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1.7Northeastern University1.5956.5%1st Place
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3.63University of Rhode Island-0.0911.1%1st Place
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6.77University of New Hampshire-1.772.3%1st Place
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6.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.4%1st Place
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6.78University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.792.0%1st Place
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6.34University of New Hampshire-1.242.1%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.001.5%1st Place
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4.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.605.8%1st Place
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8.65Bates College-2.960.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Hanrahan | 16.0% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 56.5% | 25.2% | 12.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 11.1% | 18.8% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Clayton Greig | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 10.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% |
| Dylan Dincer | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 10.3% |
| Robert Caldwell | 2.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 6.6% |
| Robert Houde | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 14.9% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 5.8% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 16.6% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.