Race 3A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Juan Perdomo 9.1% 9.3% 9.9% 9.9% 10.3% 8.5% 9.4% 10.3% 8.5% 7.1% 4.0% 3.3% 0.4%
Charles Lalumiere 17.5% 14.1% 16.6% 13.0% 10.1% 9.7% 6.4% 5.7% 2.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Harry Koeppel 14.5% 15.2% 13.4% 11.1% 11.0% 10.4% 9.1% 6.4% 4.6% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
William Crary 8.9% 8.5% 8.1% 11.4% 9.3% 9.9% 9.4% 9.3% 8.5% 6.7% 6.4% 2.9% 0.7%
Jonathan Pope 6.9% 7.0% 7.6% 8.0% 8.8% 8.4% 7.9% 9.6% 10.4% 10.1% 8.1% 4.8% 2.4%
Matthew Lyons 7.8% 8.9% 8.7% 9.3% 10.0% 9.1% 10.7% 8.5% 8.1% 7.9% 6.6% 3.7% 0.7%
John Rolander 17.1% 13.8% 12.3% 12.2% 11.6% 10.6% 8.5% 5.9% 3.8% 2.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Luis Marban 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.2% 3.0% 2.5% 2.8% 4.2% 5.2% 7.3% 11.8% 20.8% 35.2%
Alison Knoles 4.0% 5.3% 4.2% 5.7% 5.6% 7.6% 7.0% 9.5% 10.6% 12.1% 11.4% 10.5% 6.5%
Camden Tougas 3.5% 4.5% 4.1% 3.4% 4.7% 6.0% 7.3% 9.2% 10.7% 11.0% 12.1% 12.4% 11.1%
Cooper Nefsky 4.7% 5.5% 6.8% 6.6% 7.5% 7.5% 9.5% 9.9% 10.3% 10.1% 9.7% 7.2% 4.7%
Peter Christensen 3.0% 4.5% 4.2% 5.3% 6.1% 6.8% 8.2% 6.5% 10.4% 11.9% 13.3% 11.2% 8.6%
Samuel Campbell 1.6% 1.5% 2.4% 1.9% 2.0% 3.0% 3.8% 5.0% 6.0% 8.5% 12.6% 22.4% 29.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.