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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.59+0.68vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.18+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island-0.09+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+2.08vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.77+1.75vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-1.43vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.24-0.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.00-0.79vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.96-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.79-3.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Northeastern University1.5956.1%1st Place
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3.34Salve Regina University0.1813.6%1st Place
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3.6University of Rhode Island-0.0912.5%1st Place
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6.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.8%1st Place
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6.75University of New Hampshire-1.772.4%1st Place
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4.57SUNY Stony Brook-0.606.1%1st Place
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6.25University of New Hampshire-1.242.6%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.001.2%1st Place
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8.69Bates College-2.960.7%1st Place
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6.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.792.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 56.1% | 27.3% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 13.6% | 21.6% | 23.2% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Asofsky | 12.5% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 19.7% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Clayton Greig | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 18.1% | 9.4% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.1% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Robert Caldwell | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 5.5% |
| Robert Houde | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 14.6% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 15.9% | 54.0% |
| Dylan Dincer | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.