Race 5A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonathan Pope 6.8% 4.9% 7.1% 9.0% 8.5% 6.8% 9.6% 11.4% 10.3% 9.4% 8.6% 5.8% 1.8%
Charles Lalumiere 16.9% 15.8% 14.5% 14.8% 10.0% 8.4% 8.3% 4.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Juan Perdomo 7.5% 10.9% 9.3% 8.7% 10.9% 8.9% 10.5% 10.1% 8.8% 6.7% 4.2% 2.9% 0.6%
John Rolander 14.7% 14.6% 13.9% 11.9% 11.1% 10.2% 8.0% 6.7% 4.5% 2.7% 0.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Luis Marban 2.1% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 2.8% 5.2% 5.1% 6.6% 10.8% 20.2% 36.2%
Cooper Nefsky 5.7% 4.8% 5.2% 6.0% 7.7% 7.7% 8.5% 8.8% 10.4% 11.2% 11.1% 8.8% 4.1%
Matthew Lyons 9.3% 7.8% 9.7% 7.3% 8.4% 10.9% 9.1% 7.8% 9.7% 9.6% 6.2% 3.1% 1.1%
Peter Christensen 3.8% 5.0% 5.2% 4.3% 5.9% 7.5% 6.4% 9.7% 9.6% 12.1% 12.9% 10.9% 6.7%
Harry Koeppel 14.6% 15.7% 13.3% 12.7% 10.8% 8.6% 8.4% 5.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0%
William Crary 10.1% 7.8% 9.3% 10.3% 9.4% 9.7% 9.2% 9.6% 7.5% 5.8% 5.8% 4.2% 1.3%
Alison Knoles 5.0% 4.4% 6.4% 5.5% 6.7% 7.8% 8.5% 9.5% 10.1% 10.8% 11.0% 8.9% 5.4%
Samuel Campbell 1.0% 2.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 4.6% 4.5% 3.5% 6.2% 8.5% 11.1% 19.5% 32.3%
Camden Tougas 2.5% 4.3% 2.6% 5.1% 5.6% 6.0% 6.2% 7.8% 9.8% 11.2% 15.0% 13.6% 10.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.