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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.87+6.12vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University1.30+4.03vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.41+7.60vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.60+4.22vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.70-0.09vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University1.47-0.32vs Predicted
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7Rice University0.91+0.29vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.73-0.69vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.27+3.34vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.20+2.50vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.19-0.38vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida-0.31+1.69vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+1.36vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.41+0.29vs Predicted
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15Hope College-0.31-2.38vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia0.04-5.27vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-1.03-1.95vs Predicted
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18William and Mary-1.40-1.76vs Predicted
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19University of North Carolina-0.92-4.55vs Predicted
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20Eckerd College1.17-14.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12North Carolina State University0.877.1%1st Place
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6.03Texas A&M University1.3010.3%1st Place
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10.6University of Texas0.413.5%1st Place
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8.22Christopher Newport University0.605.9%1st Place
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4.91Jacksonville University1.7015.2%1st Place
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5.68San Diego State University1.4712.6%1st Place
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7.29Rice University0.917.2%1st Place
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7.31Clemson University0.738.0%1st Place
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12.34The Citadel-0.271.8%1st Place
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12.5University of Central Florida-0.202.6%1st Place
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10.62Washington College0.193.0%1st Place
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13.69University of South Florida-0.311.6%1st Place
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14.36Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.1%1st Place
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14.29Arizona State University-0.411.5%1st Place
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12.62Hope College-0.311.9%1st Place
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10.73University of Virginia0.043.3%1st Place
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15.05Michigan State University-1.031.1%1st Place
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16.24William and Mary-1.400.6%1st Place
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14.45University of North Carolina-0.920.9%1st Place
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5.92Eckerd College1.1711.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Brelage | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Scott Mather | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Aston Atherton | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% |
| William Mullray | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% |
| Caroline Henry | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Claire Miller | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Keegan Beyer | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 16.2% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 29.4% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.7% |
| Jordan Vieira | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.