Race 6A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
William Crary 8.9% 8.2% 8.7% 11.5% 8.8% 9.9% 9.6% 9.9% 7.6% 7.2% 5.6% 3.5% 0.6%
Cooper Nefsky 4.2% 5.4% 5.2% 7.1% 6.4% 8.6% 9.0% 8.1% 11.6% 10.8% 10.8% 8.7% 4.1%
Jonathan Pope 5.3% 6.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.9% 9.4% 9.4% 9.8% 10.0% 9.0% 8.6% 5.8% 1.8%
Charles Lalumiere 17.8% 16.4% 13.3% 12.9% 11.1% 7.8% 8.1% 5.3% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Matthew Lyons 8.8% 9.0% 8.3% 9.8% 7.3% 10.0% 10.6% 9.3% 9.2% 7.2% 6.0% 3.5% 1.0%
Harry Koeppel 15.0% 15.5% 14.2% 11.3% 12.1% 9.3% 6.8% 5.8% 4.4% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
John Rolander 16.6% 14.6% 13.4% 10.9% 12.0% 9.7% 7.4% 5.7% 5.4% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Juan Perdomo 8.4% 9.7% 11.0% 8.1% 11.0% 9.2% 11.6% 9.0% 7.1% 7.3% 4.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Alison Knoles 4.2% 4.9% 5.5% 5.1% 6.3% 6.6% 6.0% 10.2% 9.9% 11.8% 13.0% 10.8% 5.7%
Camden Tougas 3.9% 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 4.6% 6.1% 7.2% 8.6% 8.8% 12.5% 11.1% 14.1% 10.8%
Peter Christensen 4.1% 4.2% 4.8% 5.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.9% 8.8% 11.3% 11.2% 11.4% 10.8% 5.5%
Samuel Campbell 1.5% 1.6% 1.9% 2.6% 2.1% 4.5% 3.2% 5.2% 6.2% 7.6% 13.2% 19.6% 30.8%
Luis Marban 1.3% 1.0% 2.0% 1.7% 2.3% 1.9% 3.2% 4.3% 4.5% 8.0% 11.6% 19.6% 38.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.