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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Embry-Riddle University0.55+4.11vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.61vs Predicted
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3University of Florida1.04+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.93-1.23vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.41+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.45-2.67vs Predicted
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7Washington University0.71-2.18vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.34-1.36vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.31-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Embry-Riddle University0.558.4%1st Place
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4.61Florida Institute of Technology0.739.8%1st Place
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4.46University of Florida1.0412.4%1st Place
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2.77University of Miami1.9328.9%1st Place
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5.16Rollins College0.417.0%1st Place
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3.33University of South Florida1.4519.1%1st Place
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4.82Washington University0.7110.1%1st Place
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6.64Florida State University-0.343.1%1st Place
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8.1Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.311.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Hardt | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 3.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 28.9% | 23.1% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 4.7% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 19.1% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Robinson | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 2.9% |
| Michael Kaufman | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 29.3% | 18.8% |
| Brian Sargent | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 15.0% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.