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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+2.31vs Predicted
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2Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.64vs Predicted
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3University of Florida1.04+1.50vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.41+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93-2.36vs Predicted
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6Washington University0.71-1.13vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University0.55-1.82vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-0.34-1.35vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.31-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of South Florida1.4520.8%1st Place
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4.64Florida Institute of Technology0.7310.7%1st Place
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4.5University of Florida1.0411.0%1st Place
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5.19Rollins College0.416.3%1st Place
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2.64University of Miami1.9331.4%1st Place
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4.87Washington University0.718.6%1st Place
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5.18Embry-Riddle University0.557.1%1st Place
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6.65Florida State University-0.342.8%1st Place
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8.02Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.311.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 20.8% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Snyder | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 1.8% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 4.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 31.4% | 23.4% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Robinson | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Dylan Hardt | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 4.4% |
| Michael Kaufman | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 29.1% | 19.4% |
| Brian Sargent | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.