Race 7A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Harry Koeppel 15.6% 14.3% 12.8% 14.6% 10.6% 8.8% 8.3% 5.7% 4.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0%
John Rolander 15.4% 14.6% 13.4% 13.4% 10.1% 9.9% 7.4% 6.4% 4.6% 2.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Alison Knoles 3.8% 3.8% 5.4% 5.2% 8.1% 5.2% 9.9% 6.6% 11.5% 13.4% 12.6% 8.9% 5.6%
Jonathan Pope 6.2% 6.5% 6.4% 8.7% 8.4% 10.0% 8.6% 8.7% 9.8% 10.4% 8.3% 5.9% 2.1%
Charles Lalumiere 16.8% 19.4% 13.4% 11.2% 10.2% 10.0% 6.7% 5.2% 4.0% 1.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Juan Perdomo 8.7% 9.6% 9.6% 10.9% 9.0% 11.7% 9.6% 8.4% 7.5% 6.5% 5.2% 2.8% 0.5%
William Crary 9.6% 9.0% 9.4% 8.9% 8.7% 9.8% 11.2% 8.4% 9.0% 7.7% 5.0% 2.6% 0.7%
Matthew Lyons 8.5% 7.7% 8.7% 8.3% 10.0% 9.6% 8.9% 13.2% 8.3% 6.4% 5.3% 4.0% 1.1%
Camden Tougas 3.3% 3.7% 4.7% 4.0% 5.4% 4.7% 6.0% 9.0% 10.6% 11.1% 13.2% 14.5% 9.8%
Cooper Nefsky 5.7% 5.1% 5.1% 5.8% 8.0% 6.9% 9.1% 9.3% 9.4% 10.3% 12.1% 8.0% 5.2%
Peter Christensen 3.8% 3.7% 6.4% 6.0% 6.5% 7.1% 7.3% 9.8% 10.2% 12.2% 10.0% 11.4% 5.6%
Samuel Campbell 1.4% 1.7% 2.4% 1.8% 2.7% 3.7% 4.3% 4.8% 5.5% 7.4% 12.6% 21.3% 30.4%
Luis Marban 1.2% 0.9% 2.3% 1.2% 2.3% 2.6% 2.7% 4.5% 5.5% 7.5% 11.6% 18.8% 38.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.