Race 8A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
John Rolander 15.1% 15.4% 13.3% 12.2% 10.9% 9.3% 8.5% 6.7% 4.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.3%
Juan Perdomo 8.9% 8.9% 9.6% 10.0% 11.4% 10.5% 9.1% 8.6% 8.4% 6.4% 4.3% 3.1% 0.8%
Jonathan Pope 5.1% 6.2% 8.7% 7.6% 7.6% 8.5% 10.1% 9.5% 10.8% 9.8% 8.5% 5.6% 2.0%
Matthew Lyons 7.6% 7.3% 7.4% 10.7% 8.5% 9.4% 9.3% 11.3% 8.2% 9.0% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9%
Charles Lalumiere 18.7% 16.7% 14.6% 11.4% 10.7% 9.6% 6.2% 5.0% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Cooper Nefsky 5.4% 5.3% 6.1% 5.5% 6.9% 7.9% 8.0% 10.7% 9.6% 11.8% 9.8% 8.4% 4.6%
Alison Knoles 5.3% 5.1% 5.3% 6.0% 6.0% 6.7% 8.1% 8.3% 9.6% 12.3% 12.3% 9.8% 5.2%
Harry Koeppel 15.5% 15.6% 12.8% 11.6% 12.0% 11.0% 9.2% 4.5% 4.1% 1.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
William Crary 9.0% 8.1% 8.9% 10.1% 9.1% 10.2% 9.6% 8.9% 9.0% 6.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.2%
Luis Marban 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 3.0% 2.7% 4.7% 5.3% 7.3% 10.3% 19.5% 37.7%
Peter Christensen 3.8% 4.1% 5.7% 6.8% 6.3% 5.6% 8.6% 8.7% 11.4% 11.6% 11.5% 10.1% 5.8%
Camden Tougas 2.8% 4.0% 3.6% 4.4% 5.5% 5.5% 6.4% 7.5% 9.5% 10.0% 15.3% 14.6% 10.9%
Samuel Campbell 1.7% 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 4.2% 5.6% 6.2% 9.0% 11.2% 21.1% 30.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.