Race 7B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Maxwell Simmons 12.3% 11.0% 12.5% 10.7% 9.4% 9.9% 9.1% 6.9% 6.5% 5.7% 3.1% 1.9% 1.0%
Forrest Short 6.5% 7.5% 6.2% 8.5% 9.4% 8.2% 9.2% 9.0% 7.6% 8.8% 9.7% 6.1% 3.3%
Sam Gates 3.0% 3.7% 3.9% 4.6% 6.7% 5.8% 6.2% 7.3% 8.0% 10.3% 13.0% 12.7% 14.8%
Robert Floyd 14.3% 15.2% 12.7% 11.0% 11.1% 9.3% 6.0% 7.3% 6.1% 3.7% 1.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Sandy Beatty (Tufts) 13.9% 14.2% 14.2% 9.3% 9.5% 9.4% 8.8% 6.9% 4.9% 4.3% 2.6% 1.6% 0.4%
Matthew Mollerus 10.2% 9.5% 10.0% 11.1% 9.1% 8.0% 10.0% 7.3% 7.9% 5.4% 6.1% 3.9% 1.5%
Kendal Richardson 11.5% 9.9% 8.5% 9.1% 9.6% 10.5% 7.9% 7.9% 8.0% 6.4% 6.2% 3.3% 1.2%
Chester Jacobs 6.0% 7.6% 6.2% 6.3% 7.6% 9.3% 8.4% 9.5% 8.3% 7.4% 10.1% 8.6% 4.7%
Camille Matile 5.7% 5.0% 5.2% 7.1% 6.7% 7.5% 7.6% 8.7% 9.7% 10.6% 7.6% 10.6% 8.0%
Joshua Morrison 3.0% 2.2% 3.0% 3.2% 3.2% 3.0% 5.2% 4.6% 6.4% 7.8% 10.1% 15.3% 33.0%
Charlie Bess 3.8% 4.2% 4.8% 5.9% 5.3% 6.4% 6.0% 8.2% 9.3% 10.1% 10.8% 13.3% 11.9%
Patrick Isherwood 7.0% 6.6% 8.6% 9.0% 7.8% 7.1% 8.9% 9.3% 9.9% 7.9% 8.1% 6.0% 3.8%
Solomon Tarlin 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 4.2% 4.6% 5.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.4% 11.6% 10.9% 15.4% 16.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.