← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University1.87+3.57vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington2.79+1.08vs Predicted
-
3Oregon State University1.52+2.26vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University2.33-0.36vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington2.10-0.98vs Predicted
-
6University of Victoria1.87-1.51vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon0.46-0.02vs Predicted
-
8University of British Columbia1.92-3.57vs Predicted
-
10University of Puget Sound-1.12-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.57Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
-
3.08University of Washington2.790.2%1st Place
-
5.26Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
-
3.64Western Washington University2.330.2%1st Place
-
4.02University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
-
4.49University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
-
6.98University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
-
4.43University of British Columbia1.920.1%1st Place
-
8.53University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Foley | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 0.4% |
| Karl Haelsig | 23.1% | 22.8% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Brian Hickman | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 14.0% | 2.3% |
| Lea Fetterman | 17.2% | 16.5% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 13.9% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| David Berry | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Eliza Pearce | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 43.6% | 15.0% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 0.8% |
| Emma Franz | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 11.1% | 79.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.