← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.79+1.97vs Predicted
-
2University of British Columbia1.92+2.64vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington2.10+1.16vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.87+0.43vs Predicted
-
5Oregon State University1.52+0.07vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University2.33-2.35vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon0.46-0.02vs Predicted
-
9University of Victoria1.87-4.42vs Predicted
-
10University of Puget Sound-1.12-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
-
4.64University of British Columbia1.920.1%1st Place
-
4.16University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
-
4.43Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
-
5.07Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
-
3.65Western Washington University2.330.2%1st Place
-
6.98University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
-
4.58University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
-
8.51University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 26.4% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 8.8% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 0.9% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Paul Foley | 12.0% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Brian Hickman | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 13.3% | 2.4% |
| Lea Fetterman | 17.3% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Eliza Pearce | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 44.4% | 14.4% |
| David Berry | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 1.1% |
| Emma Franz | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 10.7% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.