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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.48+2.49vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.19+0.42vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+2.19vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.17+0.81vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.86+1.08vs Predicted
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6Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.63+1.36vs Predicted
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7Florida State University-0.01-2.58vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.53-2.55vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.80-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of Miami0.4818.2%1st Place
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2.42University of South Florida1.1934.9%1st Place
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5.19Florida Institute of Technology-0.297.0%1st Place
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4.81Eckerd College-0.179.0%1st Place
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6.08Embry-Riddle University-0.864.5%1st Place
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7.36Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.632.9%1st Place
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4.42Florida State University-0.0110.5%1st Place
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5.45University of Florida-0.537.4%1st Place
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5.78Rollins College-0.805.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Delisser | 18.2% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 34.9% | 27.0% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 6.3% |
| Lily Schwartz | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 4.5% |
| Collin Lee | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 16.9% |
| Caleb Gill | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 47.1% |
| Kathleen Lojko | 10.5% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Meredith McIntosh | 7.4% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 9.1% |
| Jason Goldsmith | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.