Race 3A

north-north

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lily Grimshaw 15.3% 14.4% 14.3% 14.3% 14.2% 11.7% 10.0% 5.4% 0.4%
Hanno Kite-Powell 9.4% 13.4% 12.5% 14.2% 15.1% 13.5% 13.3% 7.9% 0.7%
Sam Parish 17.7% 16.9% 16.1% 14.5% 10.9% 12.0% 8.6% 3.2% 0.1%
Brian Hickman 9.0% 8.5% 11.9% 10.5% 13.1% 13.7% 18.5% 13.0% 1.8%
Lea Fetterman 21.1% 20.4% 13.7% 12.2% 12.1% 10.7% 5.9% 3.5% 0.4%
Paul Foley 11.5% 11.2% 13.6% 14.9% 14.1% 13.6% 12.4% 7.6% 1.1%
David Berry 11.7% 12.1% 12.3% 14.7% 14.2% 13.8% 13.5% 7.0% 0.7%
Emma Franz 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 0.9% 0.9% 2.4% 3.6% 9.5% 80.3%
Eliza Pearce 3.6% 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 5.4% 8.6% 14.2% 42.9% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.