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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.10+3.01vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia1.92+2.49vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.87+1.50vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria1.87+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound-1.12+3.49vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.28-2.42vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University1.52-1.86vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.33-4.43vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.46-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01University of Washington2.100.2%1st Place
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4.49University of British Columbia1.920.1%1st Place
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4.5Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
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3.58University of Washington2.280.2%1st Place
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5.14Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.57Western Washington University2.330.2%1st Place
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6.94University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Grimshaw | 15.4% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 10.5% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 0.5% |
| Paul Foley | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 1.1% |
| David Berry | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| Emma Franz | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 10.9% | 78.0% |
| Sam Parish | 18.8% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Brian Hickman | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 2.6% |
| Lea Fetterman | 19.2% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Eliza Pearce | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 42.4% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.