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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lily Grimshaw 15.4% 13.9% 15.2% 14.5% 13.1% 11.9% 10.8% 4.9% 0.3%
Hanno Kite-Powell 10.5% 12.5% 12.5% 14.6% 13.7% 14.3% 12.9% 8.5% 0.5%
Paul Foley 11.4% 12.4% 13.8% 11.0% 14.1% 14.0% 13.8% 8.4% 1.1%
David Berry 12.8% 13.3% 12.6% 14.6% 13.7% 13.8% 11.9% 6.9% 0.4%
Emma Franz 0.7% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 2.2% 2.2% 4.1% 10.9% 78.0%
Sam Parish 18.8% 17.3% 17.0% 14.6% 12.5% 9.5% 7.3% 2.7% 0.3%
Brian Hickman 8.1% 8.2% 9.3% 12.7% 11.3% 15.9% 19.4% 12.5% 2.6%
Lea Fetterman 19.2% 18.6% 14.9% 13.9% 13.4% 10.1% 6.9% 2.8% 0.2%
Eliza Pearce 3.1% 3.4% 3.9% 3.4% 6.0% 8.3% 12.9% 42.4% 16.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.