Race 5A

north-north

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lily Grimshaw 13.9% 13.3% 14.6% 15.1% 14.2% 12.6% 11.1% 4.8% 0.4%
Lea Fetterman 12.9% 18.3% 16.0% 15.3% 14.9% 10.5% 7.8% 4.0% 0.3%
Brian Hickman 6.5% 8.5% 9.8% 11.1% 11.2% 16.4% 20.3% 13.6% 2.6%
David Berry 11.2% 12.7% 12.1% 14.2% 14.2% 14.1% 13.9% 6.8% 0.8%
Karl Haelsig 30.5% 21.5% 15.0% 12.9% 9.0% 6.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Hanno Kite-Powell 11.2% 11.1% 15.0% 13.1% 14.4% 15.6% 12.5% 6.7% 0.4%
Paul Foley 10.4% 10.7% 13.1% 13.3% 15.7% 14.9% 12.7% 8.3% 0.9%
Eliza Pearce 2.8% 3.3% 3.3% 4.0% 5.4% 7.6% 15.1% 44.1% 14.4%
Emma Franz 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 2.1% 3.0% 10.5% 80.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.