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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria1.87+3.58vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.33+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.10+1.18vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.87+0.49vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University1.52+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.79-3.17vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia1.92-2.53vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.46-2.06vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-1.12-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58University of Victoria1.870.1%1st Place
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3.9Western Washington University2.330.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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4.49Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.09Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
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4.47University of British Columbia1.920.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Puget Sound-1.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Berry | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 0.9% |
| Lea Fetterman | 13.7% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Paul Foley | 11.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Brian Hickman | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 2.6% |
| Karl Haelsig | 29.0% | 22.6% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hanno Kite-Powell | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Eliza Pearce | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 45.2% | 13.9% |
| Emma Franz | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 10.4% | 80.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.